Sensing Compliments Planning

“To improve demand visibility, companies will move beyond historical forecasting and establish a foundation for demand sensing and shaping that spans short- and long-term time horizons.”

Gartner, Inc. Gartner Supply Chain Executive Conference, June 2011

Welcome to a New World of Forecasting

Demand Sensing compliments demand planning to open a new world of forecasting that goes beyond historical sales. Demand Sensing automates the computationally intense and repetitive tasks of analyzing masses of daily data from across the value chain – activities that are particularity well suited for pattern recognition algorithms. This lets planners plan and frees up valuable time so that they can focus on longer-term strategic and promotional activities.

Differences between traditional forecasting and Demand Sensing include:

Traditional Forecasting
  • Uses seasonal patterns to predict sales
  • Primary driver of the forecast is average sales at this time in past years
  • Does not understand the relationship between demand in different periods
  • Confuses promotions with seasonality
Demand Sensing
  • Uses current demand signals and order patterns to predict orders
  • Optimized blend of all demand signals
  • Understands the relationship between demand in different periods
  • Understands promotions are not seasonality
 

The net result is better forecasts for better business outcomes.